Many economists and market modelers have argued over whether or not Bitcoin can be valued. Having considered many of the models, I think there are a few strong candidates out there regarding valuation.  The candidates are, as follows: The "Call Option" Model The call option model makes few assumptions on the future price or price … Continue reading Bitcoin valuation methods

You might notice, I am now offering a few products for sale in BTC/BCH. This is a choice and experiment on my part so that I can gain more experience and knowledge of these products. I have an existing relationship with an established e-commerce processor but I feel like gaining real experience in using some … Continue reading Bitcoin Valuation: Problem and Solution

Dr. Howard Bandy encourages using "state signals" versus "impulse signals" when developing and analyzing systems. My understanding of a state signal is that it is a continuous signal for every bar that defines the state of the trading system, example "be long", or "be short", or "be flat". Traditional indicators are defined as "impulse signals" … Continue reading State Signals for Analyzing Bar-By-Bar Metrics

Recently watching media coverage on Bitcoin, an analyst made an interesting remark that I felt was worthy of further consideration. He stated that that the problem with Bitcoin compared to other markets is that he could tell you why, on any given day, other markets made a move. The problem he had with Bitcoin is … Continue reading Can identify the reason or not?

Predicting any market is challenging. However, some are claiming that the Bitcoin bubble has burst. If they are claiming this purely based on the percentage of the price decline, and do not have a quantitative model or other more synergistic/comprehensive rational (example history of accurate discretionary predictions), then be very wary of reading anything into … Continue reading Bitcoin bust?

Some system traders still think that they are merely reacting to markets and that they don't predict markets. In reality, what they really believe is that they cannot predict markets better then their systems. But, there is a strong hint to determine whether or not a system developer truly believes that they don't predict markets. … Continue reading A Hint Regarding Market Prediction Among System Developers

Some traders do not like to think they have to predict the markets to be successful. But, it is a fact that your profits as a trader are a function of your ability to accurately predict the markets. There is, also, one loophole and a benefit to viewing the process as prediction, in terms of … Continue reading Predicting the market?

I wanted to share these excellent free videos from Dr. Howard Bandy. I found them extremely insightful and well made. As a tip, I prefer to watch all my educational videos at 2x speed, slowing down, where I need to spend more time on a concept.  Be sure to check his channel for additional excellent … Continue reading Highlighting Dr. Bandy’s Excellent System Trading Videos

I wanted to share a way to purchase BTC without all the fees normally associated. You create a Coinbase account. Next, you create a GDAX account and link it to your Coinbase account. You deposit your USD into your cash wallet at Coinbase: not your Bitcoin wallet. There aren't fees associated with this but it … Continue reading Quick tip: how to purchase BTC without the fees

I wanted to highlight some of the types of mistakes and errors I've seen among primarily analyst but, also, other traders. It is worthwhile to watch for these mistakes in your own analysis and thinking: Binary "all or nothing" thinking. It must be a great buy or sell here. Things are rarely certain in markets. … Continue reading Watch out for these mistakes among BTC predictions