I use a visioning exercise where I imagine how my trading at my best might be different then it is today. I find this technique to be an extremely powerful technique. The fact is that most traders who pursue their craft with dedication and seriousness know the steps they need to take to become more […]
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Many studies have shown that when edges are published by academics or become popularized that the markets become more efficient and those edges cease working or lose at least some of their effectiveness. A really brief story of how the market works. In the beginning, technical analysis was discovered. This initially provided advantage over the […]
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While Tom Lee owns his consensus forecast, as a trader I know that markets often take out short term participants before heading to their eventual targets. As such, I am still weighting whether or not there will be a delayed “post consensus” bump. The thesis for this trade would be that short term traders were […]
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Bitcoin, and some of the other cryptos, are assets which could gain or lose a tremendous amount. In fact, it would not be surprise me if the price does both, perhaps even multiple times in the future. Most professional traders are focused on finding patterns and edge. In order to realize outsize gains, typically leverage […]
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I wanted to introduce the idea for a metric that may be useful for discretionary traders, and yes, even system traders. The idea stems from this idea that markets make transitional moves that can be captured in real-time and jumps which can only be captured if positioned in advance. The percentage of moves that occur […]
Continue reading It looks like Bitcoin faces serious headwinds. It looks like regulation and in particular taxation treatment might be a hurdle factor, although I am not an expert on that. Combine that with possible new and better coins on the wings equating to increased competition, MT GOX liquidation, and declining overall interest from the general public […]
Continue reading In addition to reading the tape, quantitative price analysis, and technical analysis, are there any tools we can use to monitor whether or not Tom Lee’s bullish outlook on Bitcoin based on Consensus is playing out or fizzling out? One possibility might be to use the Google trends to monitor searches for both Bitcoin and […]
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Reuters reported that Gemini has won approval to offer privacy focused ZCash. While recently, CME group announced the creation of an Etherium index. Recently, I shared analysis that might suggest that Bitcoin could be weighed down by MT GOX liquidator needing to sell over 100k+ coins. This is certainly another wrinkle. If we imagine deflation […]
Continue reading In this post, I will be highlighting Bitcoin and other crypto resources. Please check back as I will be updating it over time: Crescent Crypto’s Newsletter https://www.crescentcrypto.com/newsletter/ Arthur Haye’s/Bitmex’s Blog https://blog.bitmex.com/ FundStrat https://www.fundstrat.com/
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Right now, I think the key themes driving the markets are rising interest rates and higher oil prices. High oil prices were cited as possible drivers for the previous recessions. The hypothesis would be the Fed will need to raise interest rates to slow down growth if oil prices continue to rally or if not […]
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