Category Archives for "Markets"

May 13

Near-term factors likely to influence BTC

Markets

While not normally providing analysis and outlook on this blog, I thought I’d highlight a few factors that may be influencing Bitcoin in the near term. The backdrop has been that Bitcoin managed to put in several higher weekly consecutive closes before negative sentiment, jawboning, expressed by influential investors and technical resistance of 10k led […]

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Jan 09

Be aware of risk with BTC

Markets

Because of the record run up, there are now many small investors who have a majority of their savings in Bitcoin. These are people who by good accident, fortune, or belief managed to capture a little of the bull market. One of my concerns when talking to some of these investors is they believe that […]

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Jan 03

Worse Than The Tulip Bubble

Markets

Do not believe people who claim Bitcoin is worse then the tulip bubble. Why? Simply, because no one alive today experienced the tulip bubble, and the records from that time period are scarce.  Plus, Bitcoin has more utility then tulips. Now, I am not claiming whether or not Bitcoin is a bubble: I am just […]

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Dec 31

Bitcoin valuation methods

Markets

Many economists and market modelers have argued over whether or not Bitcoin can be valued. Having considered many of the models, I think there are a few strong candidates out there regarding valuation.  The candidates are, as follows: The “Call Option” Model The call option model makes few assumptions on the future price or price […]

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Dec 31

Bitcoin Valuation: Problem and Solution

Markets

You might notice, I am now offering a few products for sale in BTC/BCH. This is a choice and experiment on my part so that I can gain more experience and knowledge of these products. I have an existing relationship with an established e-commerce processor but I feel like gaining real experience in using some […]

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Dec 23

Bitcoin bust?

Markets

Predicting any market is challenging. However, some are claiming that the Bitcoin bubble has burst. If they are claiming this purely based on the percentage of the price decline, and do not have a quantitative model or other more synergistic/comprehensive rational (example history of accurate discretionary predictions), then be very wary of reading anything into […]

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Dec 10

Quick tip: how to purchase BTC without the fees

Markets

I wanted to share a way to purchase BTC without all the fees normally associated. You create a Coinbase account. Next, you create a GDAX account and link it to your Coinbase account. You deposit your USD into your cash wallet at Coinbase: not your Bitcoin wallet. There aren’t fees associated with this but it […]

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Dec 10

Watch out for these mistakes among BTC predictions

Markets

I wanted to highlight some of the types of mistakes and errors I’ve seen among primarily analyst but, also, other traders. It is worthwhile to watch for these mistakes in your own analysis and thinking: Binary “all or nothing” thinking. It must be a great buy or sell here. Things are rarely certain in markets. […]

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Nov 27

Future of BTC/XBT?

Markets

Both the CME and CBOE have announced they will offer BTC futures in the near future. This is very good news. The ability to trade on a regulated exchange is welcome (although not having free market choice is never desirable).  Many people are speculating about whether BTC is a bubble. However, few participants are considering […]

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