I have been pondering who was shorting UBER. Hedge funds bet big on it, retailers would only be long, most institutional are long only, and that leaves the question who was on the short side? While it is possible that some hedge funds reversed to short based on new information, I think most likely the […]
Continue readingTrade idea: Long 33 Call Options 8 Days Exp. 1 standard deviation move yields a 2 to 1 R (Reward/Risk). A move between 1 and 2 standard deviation yields ~4R trade. Trade is fully risk limited as call options. One way to trade this is just to take profits at resistance or price targets. Another […]
Continue readingI think now is a good time to add to any UBER positions. Thesis for the trade/add is extreme poor sentiment, improving price, and knowledge from published reports that hedge funds have bet big on UBER. Counter thesis is poor price action on intermediate term and unproven results. I think optimal time to buy UBER […]
Continue readingI have been considering this trade war, and it is playing out much like I anticipated: however, I am not sure exactly how it goes. China did not want to give up what they considered a long-term advantage and did not take the low risk option of compromise. While it seemed like good long-term planning, […]
Continue readingI am going to describe a simple strategy that I conjecture will beat most Commodity Trading Advisors out there. I suspect that some of you are salivating at the prospects. However, before I share it with you I must share that I have not did much in the way of analysis on it yet, and […]
Continue readingJim Cramer is not really that bad. Many people cite Jim Cramer as offering poor advise because his predictions have a poor track record. However, it misses the point in a few ways. First, he gets people excited and interested in investing and second, my understanding, is that he bullish most of the time. And, […]
Continue readingNow, historically I have did a minimal of actual stock investing. However, I have decided that I should have some investments separate from my trading work as an additional way to win. I wanted to look at what some of the biggest gaining names had in common, and how one might have identified and captured […]
Continue readingI wanted to identify a few themes I am weighting on the longer term. My basic thesis is that the market will remain bullish until uncertainty around the 2020 election causes a profit taking opportunity. I have not looked at this quantitatively: however, I think the top is likely to be around September 2020. This […]
Continue readingThe Micro E-mini futures are a real game changer. Because of the e-micro futures, I am working to rapidly automate many of the dozens of strategies I have developed over the years but never deployed. I have deployed some of these strategies, already. One question I have asked myself is why haven’t I had more […]
Continue readingGet excited to trade on the simulator, market replay, and backtest when the markets are closed. And keep calm when markets open.
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