Monthly Archives: May 2018

May 13

Near-term factors likely to influence BTC

Markets

While not normally providing analysis and outlook on this blog, I thought I’d highlight a few factors that may be influencing Bitcoin in the near term. The backdrop has been that Bitcoin managed to put in several higher weekly consecutive closes before negative sentiment, jawboning, expressed by influential investors and technical resistance of 10k led […]

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May 13

Quantamental Approaches and Focus

Graybox Trading

My goal for the past several years has been to seek synergistic solutions to enable myself and, perhaps other discretionary traders, to use their existing strengths while taking advantage of the best algorithmic and “quantitative insights”. However, only recently, have I learned that there is an actual word for this called the “quantamental” approach. It […]

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May 07

Greater confidence, greater relevance

Trader's Mindset

Both discretionary and system trading offer unique and selective benefits. One of the advantages that discretionary trading offers is the ability to adapt to changing market conditions. Trading tactics can be more relevant to the current market conditions at the cost of greater uncertainty (less confidence). On the other hand, trading systems are typically verified […]

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May 04

Effort vs Difficult

Trader's Mindset

Great trading is never easy but it should not be difficult. Some traders may not recognize the difference between something that is “effortful” versus “difficult”. Trading with effort is a state of trading where one is fully focused but able to accurately read and respond to the changing market. Trading becomes difficult when (1) the […]

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May 03

Do more and less

Trader's Mindset

Recently, Dr. Steenbarger shared that he had an experience of trading in flow. His experience reminds me of experiences when I have traded at my best. On the other hand, if there is too much that is discretionary then it will be more difficult to perform in higher stress situations. A key question a trader […]

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May 01

Post Mortem: What Went Wrong

Trader's Mindset

Recently, I took some new methods I had been trading in a realistic simulator (Rithmic) and went live. My simulated results are shown below: While,  I did have some larger losing days then I would have liked in the simulator: overall I thought the results were promising. As an aside, I didn’t actually lose more […]

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